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Thanh Nien
 

Chief Editor : Mr. Nguyen Quang Thong
Managing Deputy Editor: Mr. Dang Thanh Tinh
248 Cong Quynh St . , Distr. 1, Ho Chi Minh City, Vietnam.
Tel: 84 8 8 394 046
Fax: 84 8 8 322 025

Thanh Nien is the tribune of Vietnam’s Youth Association

Publication permit No. 14/GP-BC, granted by Press Department, Vietnam Ministry of Culture and Information.

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The $1 billion-bond challenge
The proceeds of Vietnam’s debut sovereign bond in 2005 – totaling US$750 million – are currently on-lent to the shipbuilding group Vinashin.
Vietnam aims to sell US$1 billion worth of dollar-denominated bonds overseas by the end of this year or early 2010, a finance ministry official said.

Prime Minister Nguyen Tan Dung has asked the Ministry of Finance to choose an “appropriate time” for the debt offering, Nguyen Thanh Do, head of the external financing and debt administration department, said by telephone from Hanoi on Nov. 3. The government shelved plans to sell the debt in 2007 as demand for emerging-market debt cooled.

The sale will depend on “developments in the world markets,” Do said. “Positive signs showing international markets are improving prompted us to push ahead with the plan.”

Reuters quoted a finance ministry official as saying Nov. 3 the ministry wanted to sell 10-year dollar bonds before the end of this year but there might not be enough time to do so.

"Most of the money, about $700 million, would supplement the government's budget and the rest would be loaned to state-owned companies," said the official, who declined to be identified because he was not authorized to talk to the media.

The government had already approved the bond sale and has chosen Barclays Capital, Citigroup and Deutsche Bank as advisors for the issue.

PM Dung in November 2007 had approved the sale of dollar bonds with maturities of between 10 and 30 years. Proceeds from the sale were to be used to finance the building of an oil refinery, two hydropower plants, and to purchase ships, he said then.

Vietnam is working with lenders including the World Bank and the Asian Development Bank to boost its foreign-currency reserves, central bank Governor Nguyen Van Giau said last month.

The coupon on new bonds won’t exceed 7 percent, Sai Gon Giai Phong newspaper reported on Nov. 3, citing a decision signed by Dung on Nov. 2. Do on Nov. 3 declined to provide details.

Vietnam's only foray into the international capital market was in 2005 when it sold $750 million worth of sovereign bonds maturing in 2016. The proceeds were on-lent to the shipbuilder Vinashin.

Those bonds were trading with yields of 6.3-6.4 percent, compared with the original coupon of 6.75 percent, Reuters quoted a bond trader as saying Nov. 3.

Vietnam has sold $387.1 million of dollar-denominated bonds so far this year in the domestic market, according to the Hanoi Stock Exchange.

Challenging environment

Asia has seen a handful of high-yield sovereign issuances in recent months as countries try to raise money before interest rates start to rise.

Last month, the Philippines attracted solid demand with the sale of $1 billion of 25-year global bonds, its third sale of the year. In February, Indonesia raised $3 billion via a heavily oversubscribed sale of five-year and 10-year bonds in the biggest deal in Asia outside of Japan since 2003.

Yang-Myung Hong, a credit analyst for Nomura International, said the backdrop was generally encouraging for Vietnam.

"However, the credit market has been under pressure over the past weeks together with the overall selloff in risky assets, and this provides for a more challenging environment compared to the situation until more recently," he said.

The 7 percent ceiling would probably not cause problems, given the level of other Asian sovereigns, although he said "the uncertainty of future market movements makes it difficult to predict whether it will still be the case in early 2010."

With the economy under pressure from the global slump, and the government extending parts of an economic stimulus package, many economists forecast the fiscal budget deficit will rise to 10 percent of GDP or larger, more than double last year's.

Questions have persisted for months about how the government would fund the deficit. Domestic dong-denominated government bond auctions have struggled this year, with the finance ministry's yield ceiling too low for the market.

Vietnam is also trying hard to boost its foreign exchange reserves and said last month it would borrow $1 billion from the World Bank this year and next, and also $1 billion annually from Japan from 2010 to 2012.

Source: Bloomberg, Reuters

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